Storey Range

Every recorded HDB and private home sale in Singapore, read for you each week: what sold, where prices are moving, and what it means if you own, buy or sell.

Insights ยท 2026-12-01

Why the headline median can mislead you

The one thing to know

Headline medians can point the wrong way. The simple median for Queenstown 3-room flats is up 12.6% on a year ago; compared like with like, prices are down 6.2%.

The trap

A median only describes the flats that happened to sell. In Queenstown, 43% of this quarter's 3-room resales had 80+ years of lease left, against 30% a year earlier. Longer leases cost more, so the simple median moved even though comparable flats did not move the same way.

How like-for-like works

We split sales into groups of the same flat type, the same band of remaining lease and the same band of floors. We measure the price change inside each group, then average those changes, weighted by how many flats sold.

Read the method in full →

Across Singapore

Island-wide the two measures are closer: the simple HDB median is down 1.1% on a year ago, and like-for-like prices are steady (-0.2%), using 6,917 of 6,930 sales.

Queenstown, flat type by flat type

The simple and like-for-like change for each flat type, side by side (full table on the website).

Flat typeSimple median, 1 yearLike-for-like, 1 yearSales
3-roomup 12.6%down 6.2%95
4-roomup 6.5%up 9.9%97
5-roomdown 5.9%too few sales to say29

What we do about it

Whenever Storey Range says prices moved, it is the like-for-like measure. When we quote a simple median, we say so.